ForecasterRnn
¶
ForecasterRnn(regressor, levels, lags='auto', steps='auto', transformer_series=MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1)), weight_func=None, fit_kwargs={}, forecaster_id=None, n_jobs=None, transformer_exog=None)
¶
Bases: ForecasterBase
This class turns any regressor compatible with the Keras API into a Keras RNN multi-serie multi-step forecaster. A unique model is created to forecast all time steps and series. Keras enables workflows on top of either JAX, TensorFlow, or PyTorch. See documentation for more details.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
regressor |
regressor or pipeline compatible with the Keras API
|
An instance of a regressor or pipeline compatible with the Keras API. |
required |
levels |
(str, list)
|
Name of one or more time series to be predicted. This determine the series
the forecaster will be handling. If |
required |
lags |
(int, list, str)
|
Lags used as predictors. If 'auto', lags used are from 1 to N, where N is
extracted from the input layer |
`'auto'`
|
transformer_series |
(object, dict)
|
An instance of a transformer (preprocessor) compatible with the scikit-learn
preprocessing API with methods: fit, transform, fit_transform and
inverse_transform. Transformation is applied to each
|
`sklearn.preprocessing.MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))`
|
fit_kwargs |
dict
|
Additional arguments to be passed to the |
`None`
|
forecaster_id |
(str, int)
|
Name used as an identifier of the forecaster. |
`None`
|
steps |
(int, list, str)
|
Steps to be predicted. If 'auto', steps used are from 1 to N, where N is
extracted from the output layer |
`'auto'`
|
lags |
Optional[Union[int, list, str]]
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
'auto'
|
transformer_exog |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
None
|
weight_func |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
None
|
n_jobs |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
None
|
Attributes:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
regressor |
regressor or pipeline compatible with the Keras API
|
An instance of a regressor or pipeline compatible with the Keras API.
An instance of this regressor is trained for each step. All of them
are stored in |
levels |
(str, list)
|
Name of one or more time series to be predicted. This determine the series
the forecaster will be handling. If |
steps |
numpy ndarray
|
Number of future steps the forecaster will predict when using method
|
lags |
numpy ndarray
|
Lags used as predictors. |
transformer_series |
(object, dict)
|
An instance of a transformer (preprocessor) compatible with the scikit-learn
preprocessing API with methods: fit, transform, fit_transform and
inverse_transform. Transformation is applied to each |
transformer_series_ |
dict
|
Dictionary with the transformer for each series. It is created cloning the
objects in |
transformer_exog |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
max_lag |
int
|
Maximum value of lag included in |
window_size |
int
|
Size of the window needed to create the predictors. |
window_size_diff |
int
|
This attribute has the same value as window_size as this Forecaster doesn't support differentiation. Present here for API consistency. |
last_window |
pandas Series
|
Last window seen by the forecaster during training. It stores the values
needed to predict the next |
index_type |
type
|
Type of index of the input used in training. |
index_freq |
str
|
Frequency of Index of the input used in training. |
training_range |
pandas Index
|
First and last values of index of the data used during training. |
included_exog |
bool
|
If the forecaster has been trained using exogenous variable/s. |
exog_type |
type
|
Type of exogenous variable/s used in training. |
exog_dtypes |
dict
|
Type of each exogenous variable/s used in training. If |
exog_col_names |
list
|
Names of the exogenous variables used during training. |
series_col_names |
list
|
Names of the series used during training. |
X_train_dim_names |
dict
|
Labels for the multi-dimensional arrays created internally for training. |
y_train_dim_names |
dict
|
Labels for the multi-dimensional arrays created internally for training. |
fit_kwargs |
dict
|
Additional arguments to be passed to the |
in_sample_residuals |
dict
|
Residuals of the models when predicting training data. Only stored up to
1000 values per model in the form |
out_sample_residuals |
dict
|
Residuals of the models when predicting non training data. Only stored
up to 1000 values per model in the form |
fitted |
bool
|
Tag to identify if the regressor has been fitted (trained). |
creation_date |
str
|
Date of creation. |
fit_date |
str
|
Date of last fit. |
skforcast_version |
str
|
Version of skforecast library used to create the forecaster. |
python_version |
str
|
Version of python used to create the forecaster. |
forecaster_id |
(str, int)
|
Name used as an identifier of the forecaster. |
history |
dict
|
Dictionary with the history of the training of each step. It is created internally to avoid overwriting. |
dropna_from_series |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
_create_lags(y)
¶
Transforms a 1d array into a 3d array (X) and a 3d array (y). Each row in X is associated with a value of y and it represents the lags that precede it.
Notice that, the returned matrix X_data, contains the lag 1 in the first column, the lag 2 in the second column and so on.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
y |
numpy ndarray
|
1d numpy ndarray Training time series. |
required |
Returns:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
X_data |
numpy ndarray
|
3d numpy ndarray with the lagged values (predictors). Shape: (samples - max(lags), len(lags)) |
y_data |
numpy ndarray
|
3d numpy ndarray with the values of the time series related to each
row of |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
create_train_X_y(series, exog=None)
¶
Create training matrices. The resulting multi-dimensional matrices contain the target variable and predictors needed to train the model.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
series |
pandas DataFrame
|
Training time series. |
required |
exog |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. This type of forecaster does not allow exogenous variables. |
None
|
Returns:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
X_train |
ndarray
|
Training values (predictors) for each step. The resulting array has 3 dimensions: (time_points, n_lags, n_series) |
y_train |
ndarray
|
Values (target) of the time series related to each row of |
dimension_names |
dict
|
Labels for the multi-dimensional arrays created internally for training. |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
fit(series, store_in_sample_residuals=True, exog=None, suppress_warnings=False, store_last_window='Ignored')
¶
Training Forecaster.
Additional arguments to be passed to the fit
method of the regressor
can be added with the fit_kwargs
argument when initializing the forecaster.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
series |
pandas DataFrame
|
Training time series. |
required |
store_in_sample_residuals |
bool
|
If |
`True`
|
exog |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
None
|
suppress_warnings |
bool
|
If |
`False`
|
store_last_window |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
'Ignored'
|
Returns:
Type | Description |
---|---|
None
|
|
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
predict(steps=None, levels=None, last_window=None, exog=None, suppress_warnings=False)
¶
Predict n steps ahead
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
steps |
(int, list, None)
|
Predict n steps. The value of
|
`None`
|
levels |
(str, list)
|
Name of one or more time series to be predicted. It must be included
in |
`None`
|
last_window |
pandas DataFrame
|
Series values used to create the predictors (lags) needed in the
first iteration of the prediction (t + 1).
If |
`None`
|
exog |
Ignored
|
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention. |
None
|
suppress_warnings |
bool
|
If |
`False`
|
Returns:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
predictions |
pandas DataFrame
|
Predicted values. |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
plot_history(ax=None, **fig_kw)
¶
Plots the training and validation loss curves from the given history object stores in the ForecasterRnn.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
ax |
Axes
|
Pre-existing ax for the plot. Otherwise, call matplotlib.pyplot.subplots() internally. |
`None`
|
fig_kw |
dict
|
Other keyword arguments are passed to matplotlib.pyplot.subplots(). |
{}
|
Returns:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
fig |
Figure
|
Matplotlib Figure. |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
set_params(params)
¶
Set new values to the parameters of the scikit learn model stored in the forecaster. It is important to note that all models share the same configuration of parameters and hyperparameters.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
params |
dict
|
Parameters values. |
required |
Returns:
Type | Description |
---|---|
None
|
|
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
set_fit_kwargs(fit_kwargs)
¶
Set new values for the additional keyword arguments passed to the fit
method of the regressor.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
fit_kwargs |
dict
|
Dict of the form {"argument": new_value}. |
required |
Returns:
Type | Description |
---|---|
None
|
|
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
set_lags(lags)
¶
Not used, present here for API consistency by convention.
Returns:
Type | Description |
---|---|
None
|
|
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\ForecasterRnn.py
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|
create_and_compile_model(series, lags, steps, levels=None, recurrent_layer='LSTM', recurrent_units=100, dense_units=64, activation='relu', optimizer=Adam(learning_rate=0.01), loss=MeanSquaredError(), compile_kwargs={})
¶
Creates a neural network model for time series prediction with flexible recurrent layers.
Parameters:
Name | Type | Description | Default |
---|---|---|---|
series |
pandas DataFrame
|
Input time series. |
required |
lags |
(int, list)
|
Number of lagged time steps to consider in the input, or a list of specific lag indices. |
required |
steps |
(int, list)
|
Number of steps to predict into the future, or a list of specific step indices. |
required |
levels |
(str, int, list)
|
Number of output levels (features) to predict, or a list of specific level indices. If None, defaults to the number of input series. |
`None`
|
recurrent_layer |
str
|
Type of recurrent layer to be used ('LSTM' or 'RNN'). |
`'LSTM'`
|
recurrent_units |
(int, list)
|
Number of units in the recurrent layer(s). Can be an integer or a list of integers for multiple layers. |
`100`
|
dense_units |
(int, list)
|
List of integers representing the number of units in each dense layer. |
`64`
|
activation |
str
|
Activation function for the recurrent and dense layers. |
`'relu'`
|
optimizer |
object
|
Optimization algorithm and learning rate. |
`Adam(learning_rate=0.01)`
|
loss |
object
|
Loss function for model training. |
`MeanSquaredError()`
|
compile_kwargs |
dict
|
Additional arguments for model compilation. |
`{}`
|
Returns:
Name | Type | Description |
---|---|---|
model |
Model
|
Compiled neural network model. |
Source code in skforecast\ForecasterRnn\utils.py
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|